Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000597 0.000682 0.000772 0.000875 0.000988 0.001109 0.001248
2025-08-10 0.000472 0.000592 0.000727 0.000892 0.001084 0.001302 0.001565
2025-08-17 0.000398 0.000531 0.000690 0.000891 0.001136 0.001422 0.001780
2025-08-24 0.000329 0.000467 0.000638 0.000863 0.001147 0.001490 0.001930
2025-08-31 0.000277 0.000415 0.000594 0.000837 0.001154 0.001547 0.002063
2025-09-07 0.000243 0.000383 0.000571 0.000834 0.001187 0.001634 0.002234
2025-09-14 0.000216 0.000357 0.000552 0.000835 0.001221 0.001722 0.002406
2025-09-21 0.000190 0.000329 0.000529 0.000825 0.001241 0.001789 0.002552
2025-09-28 0.000166 0.000302 0.000504 0.000810 0.001250 0.001842 0.002678
2025-10-05 0.000156 0.000294 0.000505 0.000833 0.001312 0.001966 0.002902
2025-10-12 0.000145 0.000284 0.000502 0.000849 0.001365 0.002078 0.003111
2025-10-19 0.000129 0.000265 0.000485 0.000841 0.001381 0.002139 0.003252
2025-10-26 0.000114 0.000245 0.000463 0.000826 0.001386 0.002186 0.003375
2025-11-02 0.000105 0.000235 0.000457 0.000835 0.001428 0.002286 0.003575
2025-11-09 0.000095 0.000223 0.000447 0.000836 0.001457 0.002367 0.003748
2025-11-16 0.000082 0.000203 0.000421 0.000809 0.001441 0.002381 0.003827
2025-11-23 0.000071 0.000185 0.000397 0.000785 0.001427 0.002397 0.003907
2025-11-30 0.000064 0.000175 0.000387 0.000782 0.001448 0.002464 0.004063
2025-12-07 0.000059 0.000166 0.000379 0.000782 0.001472 0.002538 0.004229
2025-12-14 0.000052 0.000156 0.000366 0.000774 0.001481 0.002588 0.004361
2025-12-21 0.000046 0.000144 0.000351 0.000759 0.001480 0.002622 0.004468
2025-12-28 0.000044 0.000143 0.000355 0.000781 0.001540 0.002752 0.004724
2026-01-04 0.000042 0.000140 0.000356 0.000796 0.001590 0.002867 0.004959